In February, the weather along the Te Araroa trail from Picton to St Arnaud varies significantly between the Marlborough and Tasman regions. In Marlborough, temperatures range from the lower to mid-20s°C, with a mix of sunny, cloudy, and rainy days. Rainfall can be moderate to heavy at times, especially near the coast. Tasman experiences slightly cooler temperatures, with frequent sunny spells interrupted by occasional rain showers. Overall, the weather shifts between dry and wet phases, demanding attention to daily forecasts for a smooth hiking experience.
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Picton kicks off with a balance of partly cloudy days and occasional rain showers, with daily highs reaching up to 26°C. Rainfall peaks around 38 mm on certain days. Schoolhouse Bay and Endeavour Inlet show similar trends, with temperatures slightly cooler and a mix of rain and sunshine. Moving towards the Bay of Many Coves and Torea Bay, conditions are largely sunny, with intermittent rain showers that sometimes reach up to 70 mm in a day. Onahau Bay and Te Māhia witness variable conditions with rain-affected days interspersed with clear, sunny periods.
Anakiwa to Canvastown experiences frequent sunny spells with occasional cloud cover and poignant rain showers, especially around Canvastown where precipitation can surge sharply. The route concludes through Pelorus Bridge to Rocks Hut with noticeable rains, particularly on identified heavy rain days, yet interspersed with sunnier intervals.
Starveall Hut and Old Man witness bright sunny days with mid-range temperatures balancing with bursts of rain on certain days that can hit up to 7.1 mm. Bishops Cap and Top Wairoa Hut are generally dry but the rain intensity can peak dramatically on certain days, up to 64 mm. Moving through Hunters and Beeby's Knob to St Arnaud, the conditions become temperate with alternating sun and patchy rain. St Arnaud finishes with stable, partly cloudy spells and a consistent temperature range, rounding off the route with mild conditions.
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