February on the GR54 is deep winter. Most days are cloudy, with frequent snow systems, especially on the high ground. Clear spells do occur, bringing bright skies and sharp visibility, but they are usually short between snowy pulses. In the main valleys it can briefly thaw, so some precipitation falls as sleet or cold rain, yet the mountains stay snowbound and cold. Overall it feels cold to very cold, with a steady rhythm of overcast, snowfall, and short sunny lulls.
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From Le Bourg-d'Oisans it is often grey and changeable, with snowfall common and, during brief thaws, some mixed precipitation in the valley. Climbing through Clavans toward the high ground around the Refuge des Mouterres, conditions turn decisively wintry: frequent snow showers, occasional heavier bursts, and only short clear breaks; temperatures stay below freezing on the heights with only brief softness lower down. Dropping into the Valjouffrey side at Le Désert and Valsenestre, the weather alternates between quieter, overcast pauses and light snow, with the valley sometimes seeing wet snow or drizzle when mild air noses in. Returning to the Muzelle sector and finally back toward Le Bourg-d'Oisans, the pattern repeats—regular snowfall at altitude under mostly cloudy skies, punctuated by brighter windows, and a freezing level that wavers enough for the lowest stretches to see slushy or rainy spells.
On the Villar-d'Arène side the trail sits in full winter, with long overcast periods and frequent snow, at times falling heavily. Dropping to Le Monêtier-les-Bains and across to Vallouise, snow remains common but breaks of sunshine appear between systems; in milder interludes the villages can edge above freezing so precipitation may turn slushy or briefly rainy. The climb toward the high refuges of Pré de la Chaumette and Vallonpierre brings the coldest, snowiest stretch, where dry, powdery snow alternates with more sustained falls and clear intervals are crisp and short-lived. Descending into La Chapelle-en-Valgaudémar and then up toward the Souffles slopes, the valley sees some drier, brighter days, but new fronts again bring widespread snowfall, with altitude holding onto wintry conditions while the lowest ground occasionally experiences a thaw.
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